Jonathan Martin over at Politico has an interesting article today on Jeb Bush, and his prospects for being Mitt Romney’s VP. The short version:
1) He’d be an excellent choice, most likely tipping Florida to the GOP.
2) All indications are that he is not interested in it — this year, at least.
So net net, while he may be a strong choice, it ain’t gonna happen.
Now, many might laugh at point # 1, noting that with George W’s approval rating still in the toilet, picking another Bush would be a drag on the ticket, not a help. I disagree. Two words: The Godfather.
The movie, that is. In it, Michael Corleone was the smart, hard-working, strategic (and ruthless) son who succeeded his dad as godfather. Fredo, his older brother, had been passed over because he was frankly a dolt. An affable boob, but completely incapable of actually doing the job.
Okay, so imagine if Fredo had been picked first, and say… served 8 years. If someone had suggested Michael as a successor, the instinctive reaction would’ve been, “are you crazy? After his idiot brother, you want ANOTHER Corleone?” But when they actually saw Michael in action, they’d realize that he was quite different. And in fact, he’d look even better than he was, given the context of low expectations that preceded him.
Ahem. You see where I’m going, right?